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Colloquium, Spring 2004

MATHEMATICS COLLOQUIUM Date: Thursday May 20 Time: 4:00pm Place: BH 227 Title: Estimating Statistical Variability in Insurance Losses and Loss Reserves Speaker: David Kennerud, FCAS, MAAA. Actuary with the Seattle office of Milliman, Inc. Manager for the property-casualty consulting practice Abstract : Insurance losses are subject to significant variability from year to year. Numerous methods are available to the practicing actuary to determine the estimated expected value of losses, but statistical techniques are generally required to estimate the statistical variability (often called process variance) in insurance losses. This talk will discuss some of the statistical methods actuaries typically use to estimate this variability, as well as some of the pitfalls and other problems that can arise. Cookies: In BH 300 at 3:30pm, thanks to Branko.