| Week |
Date |
Subject - Deadlines |
Lecture & Notes |
| 1 |
April 2-4 |
- Part 1. Introduction to Risk Assessment
- Introductions and the basics
- Normative science and complexity
- Establishing Risk Assessment Teams
|
- Intro to EcoRA 2013
- What is EcoRA
- Risk Framework
|
| 2 |
April 9-11 |
- Part 2. Framework for Ecological Risk Assessment (Chapter 14 sections 14.1-14.6.3)
- Original risk assessment framework
- USEPA Framework for ERA
- Conceptual model formulation
- Means of calculating risk (curve, spatially explicit, quotient)
- Uncertainty and sensitivity--introduction to Monte Carlo.
- Bayesian statistics and Bayesian networks
|
- LSY Chapter 14 PDF ( sections 14.1-14.6.3)
- Framework Parts 1 & 2
- Framework Parts 3 and 4
|
| 3 |
April 16-18 |
- Part 3. Relative Risk Model and conceptual model development
- Relative Risk Model
- Construction of conceptual models-South River, Puyallup River etc.
- PNWSETAC the weekend of 19-20 in Spokane
|
- LSY Chapter 14 (sections 14.6-14.6.7)
- Bayesian statistics lecture, Case studies
- Eleanor Hines will be presenting the case study lectures
|
| 4 |
April 23-25 |
- Presentation of Conceptual Models for Risk Assessment Projects
- Analysis
- Start Risk Calculation
|
- Present conceptual models
- Risk calculation spreadsheet in Blackboard documents
- Thursday will be project development --setting up calculations, describing uncertainty. Hines and Landis will be available for discussion and help.
|
| 5 |
April 30-May 2 |
- Risk Calculation using the Relative Risk model
|
- Past mid-terms available on Blackboard.
- Outlines for mid-term papers due
|
| 6 |
May 7-9 |
- Mid-term May 9 1.5 hours
- Work on risk assessment projects-presentation of ranking schemes and risk calculations
|
|
| 7 |
May 14-16 |
- Part 4. Examples of ecologial risk assessment and Literature Reivews
- Presentations of blocks of literature by each of the 7 teams.
- Uncertainty assessment continues. Monte Carlo perhaps?
|
|
| 8 |
May 21-23 |
- Preparation of Scholars Week Posters for presentation on May 18
|
|
| 9 |
May 28-30 |
- Review of risk assessment and expansion into mangement
- Final planning and conduct of the risk assessment projects.
|
|
| 10 |
June 4-6 |
|
Presentations to be added to Blackboard |
| 11 |
June 10-14 |
- Final written reports due June 10
- Final Exam
|
Final Exam Posted on Blackboard |