Week 
Date 
Subject  Deadlines 
Lecture & Notes 
1 
April 24 
 Part 1. Introduction to Risk Assessment
 Introductions and the basics
 Normative science and complexity
 Establishing Risk Assessment Teams

 Intro to EcoRA 2013
 What is EcoRA
 Risk Framework

2 
April 911 
 Part 2. Framework for Ecological Risk Assessment (Chapter 14 sections 14.114.6.3)
 Original risk assessment framework
 USEPA Framework for ERA
 Conceptual model formulation
 Means of calculating risk (curve, spatially explicit, quotient)
 Uncertainty and sensitivityintroduction to Monte Carlo.
 Bayesian statistics and Bayesian networks

 LSY Chapter 14 PDF ( sections 14.114.6.3)
 Framework Parts 1 & 2
 Framework Parts 3 and 4

3 
April 1618 
 Part 3. Relative Risk Model and conceptual model development
 Relative Risk Model
 Construction of conceptual modelsSouth River, Puyallup River etc.
 PNWSETAC the weekend of 1920 in Spokane

 LSY Chapter 14 (sections 14.614.6.7)
 Bayesian statistics lecture, Case studies
 Eleanor Hines will be presenting the case study lectures

4 
April 2325 
 Presentation of Conceptual Models for Risk Assessment Projects
 Analysis
 Start Risk Calculation

 Present conceptual models
 Risk calculation spreadsheet in Blackboard documents
 Thursday will be project development setting up calculations, describing uncertainty. Hines and Landis will be available for discussion and help.

5 
April 30May 2 
 Risk Calculation using the Relative Risk model

 Past midterms available on Blackboard.
 Outlines for midterm papers due

6 
May 79 
 Midterm May 9 1.5 hours
 Work on risk assessment projectspresentation of ranking schemes and risk calculations


7 
May 1416 
 Part 4. Examples of ecologial risk assessment and Literature Reivews
 Presentations of blocks of literature by each of the 7 teams.
 Uncertainty assessment continues. Monte Carlo perhaps?


8 
May 2123 
 Preparation of Scholars Week Posters for presentation on May 18


9 
May 2830 
 Review of risk assessment and expansion into mangement
 Final planning and conduct of the risk assessment projects.


10 
June 46 

Presentations to be added to Blackboard 
11 
June 1014 
 Final written reports due June 10
 Final Exam

Final Exam Posted on Blackboard 